Eom Kyung-young "尹 seems to have yet to give up his regret to return to his job performance."I'm stuck in '9th place world view'".

- 與 Worried about Bundang? There are no next candidates who can represent the defection forces.Not Han Dong-hoon
- Na Kyung-won as the new floor leader of the 與 Party? He has a similar position to Choo Kyung-ho
- It is more likely to be impeached than to resign from the 尹.It seems that the constitutional amendment to shorten the term of office is in mind
- Candlelight scale, possibly getting bigger..與 lawmakers will find it difficult to endure pressure
- Han Deok-soo and Han Dong-hoon cannot jointly run state affairs..There's no constitutional basis.

◆ [YTN Radio SHINYUL's news]
■ Broadcasting: FM 94.5 (17:00-19:00)
■ Air date: December 9, 2024 (Monday)
■ Proceedings: Shin Yul, Professor of Political Science and Diplomacy at Myongji University
■ Dialogue: Eom Kyung-young, Director of the Center for Psychological Research in the Era

- The power of the people, the position that they should step down after about six months.Very unconvincing

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information.


◇Shinryul: Shinryul's News Head-to-head Match Part 4 begins. That's the amount of time you've been waiting for two weeks. Now, let's have a time to analyze this dark reality and tragic situation in our own way and think about where we can find light in the future. He is the head of the Institute for Psychological Research in the Era of Eom Management, the Chok of Eom Management.

◆Um Management: Yes, hello.

◇ Shin Yul: How do you see the absence of the Yes People's Power impeachment?

◆Strict management: I did not attend the impeachment motion. Public opinion is a little bad. I think there were about three purposes. At first, this is a concern about conservative monstrosity. For example, I think this is the first Park Geun Hye trauma. And secondly, I think they are judging that the poll approval rating is still holding up. After that, Lee Jae-myung, chairman of the Democratic Party of Korea, and the fear of Lee Jae-myung's election if the early presidential election is held, the three things were intertwined and opposed, but public opinion is getting worse, and I think there was also a little bit of Han Dong-hoon's position going back and forth. At first, it was against impeachment and then turned to approval in the middle, and at the end, it turned back to the opposite position. Perhaps the reason is that the hard-line conservatives criticized it as the second Yoo Seung-min. I think that this concern worked.

◇Shin Yul: But I'm curious about one thing right now. Just in case. I think it's okay to say that the casting vote is held by my close circle, but if you propose the impeachment motion again on Wednesday anyway, wouldn't you be able to vote again on Friday or Saturday? It's a home here. If close circles say they will vote for the approval, will such a split-up like the Bareunmirae Party happen again after that? How do you see it?

◆Eom management: I think that in order to become a Bundang, there needs to be a person representing the Bundang power, for example. At that time, in late 2016 and early 2017, when the ruling Saenuri Party was divided, former UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon represented a kind of defection force, and at that time, he was the No. 1 presidential candidate. So, the power of defection gathered, and now it was former lawmaker Yoo Seung Min who led the transfer, but now I think things are a little different. Even if they leave the party now, there is no next runner who can represent the forces leaving the party.
◇ Shin Yul: Do you think CEO Han Dong-hoon is a little bit wrong?

◆Extreme management: Yes, I don't think Han Dong-hoon is the CEO yet. And this time, why would Chairman Han Dong-hoon leave the party when he is the mainstream of the party? I think he will probably stay in the party and try to rebuild the party. It's not easy for me to pass by this Saturday. I think there are about two variables. At first, the first thing I can hear is that I told you a while ago, but the poll's approval rating is still holding up. So if you look at the impeachment of Park Geun Hye. At the time of Park Geun Hye, President Park Geun Hye's approval rating dropped to 5%. So it plunged from 17% to 5% at the beginning of November in an instant.

◇ Credit: I told you earlier about the 2016 approval rating. Overview

◆Strict Management: That's now the same for party approval ratings. So, based on Gallup Korea, only 13% came out.

◇Shin Yul: The poll was released today, right?

◆Extreme management: No at the time

◇ Credit: Party approval rating at the time, so what I said earlier was that the Korean Gallup

◆Strict management: So, if the president's approval rating collapses by 10 percent and the party's approval rating by 20 percent, there is a high possibility that this will turn to favoring the impeachment motion as the sense of crisis among lawmakers of the People's Power Party rises. But I'm sure you've dealt with it before. The president's approval rating is still in the low 10% range, and the party's approval rating is around 20% and 25%. And now the second variable is the floor leader election on the 12th. So, depending on who becomes the floor leader of the party as the successor of floor leader Choo Kyung-ho, whether the impeachment bill will be passed or rejected will be affected, but Na Kyung-won is said to be the most likely candidate.

◇ Shin Yul: Rep. Na Kyung-won is not pro-yoon.

◆Um management: So it's not Chin-yoon. Anyway, he has a position a little similar to that of floor leader Choo Kyung-ho. In this impeachment phase, these two variables are likely to influence the vote on the impeachment motion this Saturday or Friday. However, it's only a matter of time, so as time goes by, the anger over the rejection of the impeachment bill is seen as this toward the power of the people, so it's not easy for me to continue.

◇ Credit: No, the anger of the people is also anger, but if the stock market falls more and more, for example. If this leads to a decrease in asset value, the people will not stay put.

◆Strict management: That's right. It is said that the market capitalization has flown over 150 trillion won so far. That's why it's a 150 trillion-dollar emergency decree on the Internet these days. This is what we're talking about. The Korean economy is in a very serious situation right now. And externally, we need to show our diplomatic power in response to the Trump crisis, and there is a high possibility that these things will be blank now. Concerns are growing.

◇ Credit: So the economy was not in a downward phase under former President Park Geun Hye. At the time of impeachment, it is already difficult to do this while it is in a downward phase, but they continue to see this uncertainty in an orderly manner in foreign countries. Isn't impeachment the only thing that needs to be supported by the system for real order? But isn't the economy bound to get more twisted because they keep talking about orderly resignation?

◆Extreme management: Yes, that's right. I think they're taking it much more seriously in foreign countries. Actually, as I listened to the public statement declaring the declaration of martial law by the president, I felt very unrealistic as if it were fake news for April Fools' Day. But how much would it be like that in Korea and abroad? It's the first martial law incident in developed countries, so in order to settle it quickly, I think there are only three options. The first is to pass the impeachment motion, the second is to step down, and the third is to arrest. At the end, arrest means that there is a continuing controversy over the performance of the president's duties. Because even in prison,

◇ Credit: Whether to view it as an accident or not

◆Extreme Management: Yes, that's right. That's because some people think that their jobs may be maintained even in prison. And actually, Haya... I think this is an accessible plan only when the ruling and opposition parties agree. But from the Democratic Party's point of view, it's not possible to step down right now.

◇ Shin Yul: And if you didn't want to pay, it's over.

◆Strict management: And that's right. And I think the president's intentions are very important, but none of the president's intentions are known right now. But the president has, for example, a 'nine-number worldview'. I have a world view of the 9th number of perspectives, and until I ask what this content is, I keep looking at the perspective. That's why I also interpret the remarks that the president said in the past that he wouldn't look at the electronic display. If so, what will the president choose between impeachment or white? Then I think it's 100% impeachment prosecution. Because if you step down, your chances of returning to work become zero. However, chances are high that if the impeachment motion is passed, he will be able to return to the court through a trial in the Constitutional Court. That's why the president's intention is very important, but it's not coming out yet, but I think it's probably more about impeachment than white. Didn't you say that in the apology speech last Saturday? I only discussed the shortening of my term in office in such a vague manner. I mentioned it. This is aimed at shortening the term of constitutional amendment. That's how I interpret it.

◇ Shin Yul: You didn't think it was this week, did you? You said that, right? There is little chance of passing the impeachment motion
◆Strict Management: Yes, a little less because of two variables.

◇ Velocity: When.

◆Strict management: So how are we going to stop this next week, not this week? If this is rejected next week, the 10% presidential approval rating wall and the 20% approval rating of the party's people will collapse. If this happens, it will be hard for lawmakers to bear the pressure. That's how I see it. And there is a high possibility that the size of candles will get bigger and bigger. Last Saturday, when the impeachment motion was voted on, the media reported that it was now 1 million people, and about 500,000 people were filled to Yeouido Square. So it's like a lot of people gathered together. Actually, Yeouido is not the right place for a lot of people to gather.

◇Shin Yul: But this is a poll requested by the Kookmin Ilbo to Gallup Korea today. It was held from the 6th to the 7th for 1,014 people aged 18 or older nationwide. It's a telephone interview survey. For more information, if you refer to the National Election Opinion Review Committee's website, the president's approval rating is now 11%. Then there will be an NBS survey on Thursday, which we say is a national indicator survey. I don't know if the Gallup Korea poll will come out this week on Friday, but I think it will come out.

◆Strict management: The national indicator survey on Thursday was supposed to come out last week.

◇Credibility: Due to emergency martial law.

◆Strict management: I don't know if it will come out or not, but anyway, the Gallup Korea poll will come out on Saturday. So I think the president's approval rating will collapse by 10%. I think it's going to collapse.

◇ Shin Yul: Then the power of the people should be under pressure as you said.

◆Strict Management: People's Power lawmakers pay more attention to the president's approval rating, mainly because they care more about it.

◇ Shin Yul: That's the outline of the November 2016 Gallup Korea poll I mentioned earlier, former President Park Geun Hye. But if you look at this, I got 13 or 14.

◆Extreme management: It was 13%. I also checked as I came out. So anyway, if 20% collapses, the members of the People's Power Party will be nervous, and even now, the atmosphere is bubbling internally. It can be seen as very important who will open the water and how CEO Han Dong-hoon expresses his position.

◇ Shin-ryul: But how can it be possible for Prime Minister Han Deok-soo and Representative Han Dong-hoon to take the lead in state affairs?

◆Extreme management: That's what many media are pointing out, and experts are saying that a lot now. It's a constitutional lack of basis. So, presidential authority should be delegated to the prime minister by the Constitution, but the basis for this is President Yoon's apology to the public on Saturday. There is now a vague expression of our party and the government, so if you look at it that way, it can be interpreted that the president has delegated authority to representative Han Dong-hoon and Prime Minister Han Deok-soo. .

◇ Credit: It's not systematically supported to delegate, so what can I do? He also accepted Minister Lee Sang-min's resignation, appointed the first deputy director of the National Intelligence Service, and did everything he had to do.

◆ Strictly Management: So that's what comes out about the nine-figure world. So, it should be seen that the president has not yet given up his regret to return to his job at any time. And anyway, Prime Minister Han and representative Han issued a joint statement yesterday, which is impossible without a constitutional basis. It's impossible, and now there are two constitutional powers of a prime minister. After presiding over the Cabinet meeting, there is now a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday and Thursday, which was presided over by President Yoon on Tuesday and Prime Minister Han on Thursday. And I have the right to recommend appointments to the State Council member, the minister. But in fact, it's different from the right to propose an appointment. So anyway, we need to get the president's final autograph. In that sense, Prime Minister Han should see it as impossible to run joint state affairs.

◇ Shin Yul: We're talking about turning off six months from the power of the people and turning off a year. So you're asking me to float in the air like this for six months.

◆Strict management: So in terms of people's power, let's drag it out for about six months. So, let's leave after about six months. The reason why this is impossible is that even if you are excluded from job performance for about six months, there is no way for the Democratic Party to disagree and exclude your job. In the case of President Yoon, his mental state can be a little unstable through the declaration of emergency martial law. Because it fell sharply after being at the peak of its supreme power, especially the inter-Korean local war is reported in various media today, and there are suspicions that former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun sent drones to Pyongyang and raised suspicions such as hitting the origin. If this is true, it's a serious problem. So I can't solve the problem of the military leadership. And as I said earlier, the president is never a character who should volunteer. So, I'm going to go to the people's power six months later. The project is difficult to succeed and less convincing. And I rather try to be reborn through thorough self-renewal reflection on self-renewal and self-reflection, but I don't think you can play tricks. At times like this, we need to keep our standards and principles. That's what I think.

◇ Shin-ryul: But in fact, the people's power seems to think about the trauma of former President Park Geun Hye's impeachment, but isn't there a great difference between the nature of the issue at the time of former President Park Geun Hye's impeachment and this?

◆Strict management: Of course. That's why MZ generation is participating in candlelight protests a lot. Do you know what their first homing was? It's much more serious than the Park Geun Hye manipulation of state affairs. This is a perfect solution. So, I didn't know about martial law in 1979 because I only saw it on the news, but since I was young, that's what the MZ generation says these days. So, this is a serious problem, but if the people's power responds in such an easy and carefree manner, it will be further away. And in fact, isn't martial law already declared? Depending on how you deal with this, the remuneration may be rebuilt, and the remuneration may continue to be in a state of disarray forever. We should know this now.

◇ Shin Yul: No, but I think that's what they're saying now. During the Park Geun Hye regime, we were pushed back because we responded purely. But this is what I think. I was able to come to power in five years because I joined the impeachment, but now, armed soldiers have stormed the National Assembly, and I don't know why, even though I can't compare them unconditionally while talking about the old days. Shouldn't we give an impression that the future of Korea and the people are thinking about it?

◆Extreme management: That's right. That's why the military held a gun and held a gun to the people. The fact that it broke into the National Assembly means that even in the past 79 years of martial law, the National Assembly did not touch it. Didn't the special commander of 707 come out and say that during the press conference? I didn't even know there was such a clause in martial law. It is frustrating that the power of the people is playing such a leisurely role like in other countries, even though it is a serious problem. As you said, we need to correct the wrongs now so that we can regain power in five years. And if we make mistakes in the early presidential election and reflect on this mistake so proudly, for example, I think these are figures of conservatism for former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, Minister of Public Administration and Security Lee Sang-min, and female counterintelligence commander. The conservatives can live again only when they punish them with the heaviest punishment and use them as lessons like this. That's how I see it.

◇ Shin Yul: Of course. In fact, this is a severe punishment to the extent that others cannot dare, and this history cannot be repeated. That's why a thorough investigation is essential. Let's stop here today. Thank you.

◆Extreme Management: Thank you.

◇ Shin Yul: I was the director of Eom Kyung-young's Psychological Research Institute.